Zsoka Koczan

Biography

Zsoka Koczan is a Principal Economist at the EBRD Office of the Chief Economist. She holds a PhD in Economics from the University of Cambridge. Prior to joining the EBRD Zsoka worked as an economist at the International Monetary Fund in the European Department (on Belarus, Montenegro and a cross-country project on macroeconomic developments in the Western Balkans) and in the Research Department (on the World Economic Outlook). Her current research focuses on within-country income disparities, migration and inequality.

Education

2014 – PhD in Economics, University of Cambridge (King’s College)
2010 – MPhil in Economics, University of Cambridge (King’s College)
2009 – BA Hons in Economics, University of Cambridge (King’s College)

Research interests

  • Migration
  • Inequality
  • Regional economics
  • Labour economics

Selected publications

‘Late to the game? Capital flows to the Western Balkans’, Croatian Economic Survey, 2018. Earlier version: IMF Working Paper No. 17/92, 2017.

‘Remittances during crises: Evidence from ex-Yugoslavia’, Economics of Transition, 2016.

‘(Why) are immigrants unhappy?’ IZA Journal of Migration, 2016. Earlier version: Cambridge Working Papers in Economics No. 1314, 2013.

‘Does identity matter?’ Migration Studies, 2016. Earlier version: Cambridge Working Papers in Economics No. 1313, 2013.

‘Fiscal deficit and public debt in the Western Balkans: 15 years of economic transition’, Post-Communist Economies, 2016. Earlier version: IMF Working Paper No. 15/172, 2015.

‘How much do tariffs matter? Evidence from the customs union of Belarus, Kazakhstan and Russia’, with Asel Isakova and Alexander Plekhanov, Journal of Economic Policy Reform, 2015. Earlier version: EBRD Working Paper, No. 154, 2013.

Working Papers

‘How do migration and remittances affect inequality? A case study of Mexico’, with Franz Loyola, IMF Working Paper No. 18/136, 2018. VoxDev: How do migration and remittances affect inequality? A case study of Mexico

‘Storm clouds ahead? Migration and labor force participation rates in Europe’, with Benjamin Hilgenstock, IMF Working Paper No. 18/148, 2018. Migration Museum Project blog: Migration, population ageing, and labour force participation.

‘Permanently displaced? Increasingly disconnected? Labor force participation in U.S. states and metropolitan areas’, with Benjamin Hilgenstock, IMF Working Paper No. 18/118, 2018.

‘Still attached? Are social safety nets working? Labor force participation in European regions’, with Benjamin Hilgenstock, IMF Working Paper No. 18/165, 2018.

‘Drivers of labor force participation in advanced economies: Macro and micro evidence’, with Francesco Grigoli and Petia Topalova, IMF Working Paper No. 18/150, 2018.

‘A cohort-based analysis of labor force participation in advanced economies’, with Francesco Grigoli and Petia Topalova, IMF Working Paper No. 18/120, 2018.

‘More slack than meets the eye? Recent wage dynamics in advanced economies’, with Gee Hee Hong, Weicheng Lian and Malhar Nabar, IMF Working Paper No. 18/50, 2018.

‘Why is labor receiving a smaller share of global income? Theory and empirical evidence’, with Mai Chi Dao, Mitali Das and Weicheng Lian. IMF Working Paper No. 17/169, 2017. VoxEU: Routinisation, globalisation, and the fall in labour’s share of income.

‘Being poor, feeling poorer: Inequality, poverty and poverty perceptions in the Western Balkans’, IMF Working Paper No. 16/31, 2016.

‘Trading on their terms? Commodity exporters in the aftermath of the commodity boom’, with Aqib Aslam, Samya Beidas-Strom, Rudolfs Bems, Oya Celasun and Sinem Kılıç Çelik. IMF Working Paper No. 16/27, 2016.

‘How important are non-tariff barriers? Complementarity of infrastructure and institutions of trading partners’, with Alexander Plekhanov. EBRD Working Paper No. 159, 2013.

Book chapters and policy work

‘Work in progress: Improving youth labor market outcomes in emerging market and developing economies’, with Jaebin Ahn, Zidong An, John Christopher Bluedorn, Gabriele Ciminelli and Daniela Muhaj, IMF Staff Discussion Note, No. 19/02, 2019. IMF blog: Unlimited Opportunities: Creating More Jobs for Young People in Emerging Market and Developing Economies

‘Labor force participation in advanced economies: Drivers and prospects’, with Francesco Grigoli and Petia Topalova (team leader), Chapter 2, World Economic Outlook, April 2018. IMF blog: Wanted: Policies to encourage and enable work in advanced economies.

‘Recent wage dynamics in advanced economies: Drivers and implications’, with Gee Hee Hong, Weicheng Lian and Malhar Nabar (team leader), Chapter 2, World Economic Outlook, October 2017. IMF blog: The disconnect between unemployment and wages.

‘Migration and remittances in Latin America and the Caribbean: Engines of growth or macroeconomic stabilizers?’, with Kimberly Beaton, Svetlana Cerovic, Misael Galdamez, Metodij Hadzi-Vaskov, Franz Loyola, Bogdan Lissovolik, Jan Kees Martijn, Yulia Ustyugova and Joyce Wong, Chapter 5, Regional Economic Outlook: Western Hemisphere, May 2017.

‘Understanding the downward trend in labor income shares’, with Mai Dao, Mitali Das (team leader), and Weicheng Lian, Chapter 3, World Economic Outlook, April 2017. IMF blog: Drivers of the declining labor share of income, IMF blog: The hollowing out of the middle-skilled labor share of income.

‘Global disinflation in an era of constrained monetary policy’, with Samya Beidas-Strom, Sangyup Choi, Davide Furceri (team leader), Bertrand Gruss, Sinem Kılıç Çelik, Ksenia Koloskova, and Weicheng Lian, Chapter 3, World Economic Outlook, October 2016.

‘Understanding the slowdown in capital flows to emerging markets’. Chapter 2, World Economic Outlook, with Rudolfs Bems (team leader), Luis Catão (team leader), Weicheng Lian and Marcos Poplawski-Ribeiro, April 2016.

‘Where are commodity exporters headed? Output growth in the aftermath of the commodity boom’, with Aqib Aslam, Samya Beidas-Strom, Rudolfs Bems, Oya Celasun (team leader) and Sinem Kılıç Çelik, Chapter 2, World Economic Outlook, October 2015.

‘Progress in structural transformation’ and ‘Macroeconomic developments and policies: Boom, bust, and the aftermath’, with Nina Budina, Chris Faircloth, Pamela Madrid Angers, Murad Omoev, Mikhail Pranovich, and Zaijin Zhan, under the supervision of Alasdair Scott. In: The Western Balkans: 15 Years of Economic Transition, IMF Regional Economic Issues Special Report, Zuzana Murgasova, Nadeem Ilahi, Jacques Miniane, Alasdair Scott, Ivanna Vladkova-Hollar, and an IMF Staff Team, 2015.

‘Regional trade integration and Eurasian Economic Union’, with Alexander Plekhanov and contributions from Veronika Zavacka. Chapter 4, Transition Report, 2012.