Senegal’s real GDP growth accelerated from 4.3 per cent in 2023 to 6.9 per cent in 2025 and 12.1 per cent year on year in the first quarter of 2025, boosted by the start of oil and gas extraction from the offshore Sangomar field. The resulting surge in exports helped reduce the current account deficit to 13.3 per cent of GDP in 2024. Meanwhile, inflation slowed to 0.8 per cent on the back of lower food and energy prices and tight monetary policy throughout the year. Following an audit by Senegal’s Court of Auditors, the 2024 fiscal deficit was revised upwards by over 6 percentage points of GDP and is now estimated at 12 per cent of GDP, while central government debt was revised up from 99.7 per cent of GDP in 2023 to 118 per cent of GDP.
In October 2024, the IMF suspended the ECF/EFF and RFS programmes (approved in 2023 and totalling US$ 1.8 billion), pending the conclusion of the audit. Senegal’s economy is expected to continue reaping gains from new hydrocarbon exports, with growth expected to reach 8.4 per cent in 2025 before moderating to 4.1 per cent in 2026 as the direct effect of the field wanes and reflecting fiscal consolidation required to rein in debt accumulation. Downside risks include the impact of climate change, as well as the uncertainty surrounding the IMF programme. A revised programme, once agreed, could further boost investor confidence.