Slovenia overview

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In Slovenia we focus on:

Corporate sector restructuring, expanding the role of the private sector and promoting good corporate governance. Lifting the obstacles presented by excessive leverage and poorly structured corporate finances is a precondition for preventing a rapid rise in insolvencies, stabilising the banking sector and arresting the on-going economic contraction. The EBRD is seeking bankable opportunities to help restore financial viability of companies with sound underlying businesses. We will participate in the privatisation of key enterprises currently under state control, either through debt or equity financing.

Stabilising the financial sector. In what will likely be a protracted process of deleveraging, recapitalisation and consolidation, the EBRD will assist in bank asset restructuring, support healthy banks with medium term funding for the real sector, and help build up alternative funding channels. Progress with balance sheet cleansing and credible commitment to governance reform in the banking sector will open up opportunities for providing support for the privatisation of state-controlled banks.

Supporting sustainable energy. The EBRD will explore sustainable energy and resource efficiency investment opportunities, particularly in the SME sector and the residential sector. The Bank will also actively seek opportunities to identify and finance investments that would increase the renewable energy generation capacity in the country.

The EBRD’s latest strategy for Slovenia was adopted on 26 February 2014

Current EBRD forecast for Slovenia’s real GDP growth in 2015 2.3%

Current EBRD forecast for Slovenia’s real GDP growth in 2016 2.0%

Slovenia’s economy grew by 3 per cent year-on-year in 2014 and 2.7 per cent year-on-year in the first half of 2015, driven by net exports and build-up of stocks. In the second half of 2015 and 2016, domestic demand is expected to drive growth. Consumption will be supported by falling lending rates, rising consumer confidence and higher disposable income, as real wages gradually rise and the unemployment rate falls. Higher business confidence and lower cost of funding will support private investments. Government investments are expected to increase slightly in the second half of 2015, to absorb more EU funds as the 2007-2013 programming period ends as of end-2015, but they are then expected to decline in 2016, with the beginning of 2014-2020 EU programming period, leading to a slightly more moderate growth next year. Growth is thus expected at 2.3 per cent in 2015 and 2.0 per cent in 2016.


Slovenia in the EBRD’s 2015-16 Transition Report

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